Thomas van der Valk
Senior Analyst
Amsterdam, NL
Publications
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Article
Where is Europe’s next flash flood? Quantifying extreme precipitation and flash flood risk in Europe with extreme value theory
18 December 2025 - by Matt Chamberlain, Fernando Mierzejewski, Jan Thiemen Postema, Thomas van der Valk, Menno van Wijk
We use extreme value theory to assess the risk of catastrophic precipitation events in Europe, identifying the highest risks along the Mediterranean coast.