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CLIMATE CHANGE

Social and economic impact

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A warming world

Unprecedented risk and uncertainty

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Wildfire catastrophe models could spark the changes California needs

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Flood warning: Working to provide better coverage

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Parametrics: Insuring for agriculture, livestock & climate change

Insight

Milliman climate change insight

White paper

Supervisory Statement 5/25: Enhancing banks’ and insurers’ approaches to managing climate-related risks

SS5/25 introduces clearer, more proportionate climate-risk expectations, calling on UK insurers to strengthen governance, risk and data capabilities.

White paper

Climate forecast: Looking beyond net-zero mortality predictions

We share our initial findings from building a prototype causal model to explore the interactions of various climate and socio-economic factors on excess mortality.

Article

Geocoding for insurance: How to ensure precision and accuracy in the geocoding workflow

In this article, the second in our series on geocoding for insurance, we discuss how to identify potential bad results throughout the geocoding workflow.

Article

The expected impacts of Hurricane Milton: What’s next for the Florida insurance market?

This paper reviews the expected insurance impacts of Milton and the anticipated future responses of the (re)insurance markets in Florida.

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Benchmarking survey

South African insurance industry climate progress

Key observations from the inaugural Milliman Benchmarking Climate Survey in South Africa

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Report

Impact of climate change on disease prevalence

Climate change can have a wide-ranging impact on disease prevalence, from changes in vector ecology, to air pollution, to the effects of extreme heat and cold snaps on the body.

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Article

Climate change and credit risk

The insurance industry has for a long time sought to identify the best practical methods for selecting investments to maximize returns within an acceptable level of credit risk.

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The impact of carbon risk factor on equity dynamics

Modelling assets composing insurers’ portfolios from an environmental point of view is a challenging topic. The calculation of the Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) may be adapted within internal models to take into account this increasing risk.

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Developing climate risk scenarios for Solvency II ORSA

Developing scenarios for climate transition risks for the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) will become an important challenge for the industry.

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Causal modelling: A possible application considering climate risk and asset returns

We illustrate a modeling approach that serves as a useful tool to explore the potential impacts of climate risk on future asset returns.

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Article

Building a climate risk management framework for U.S. P&C insurers

How a well-governed and structured insurer can build a lasting enterprise-risk-management framework to address climate change risk.

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Article

Climate change governance and strategy requirements: How might New York insurers comply with them

New York domestic insurers need to focus on two specific action steps in the wake of guidance issued on managing the financial risks from climate change.

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Article

Unpriced costs of flooding; An emerging risk for homeowners and lenders

The U.S. residential real estate market likely has not fully accounted for the financial costs of flooding, with few homeowners having flood insurance. 

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Article

A tale of two catastrophes: Demand surge and inflation put property insurers in a bind

Insurers with higher claim severities will face additional strains from recent disasters, leading to potential impacts on reserving and property rates.

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U.S. insurers and climate change: The longer-term horizon is getting shorter

Examples of shifts in attitude toward climate change in the U.S. regulatory landscape.
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Simplifying climate resilience strategies for insurers

Insurers need to incorporate climate change into their risk management and reporting.
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Webinar

Q&A with Spencer Glendon on the impacts of an unstable climate

A functioning global economy requires a stable climate. Spencer Glendon, Founder of Probable Futures, joined Milliman’s Nancy Watkins for a dialogue focused on what business leaders, policymakers, and community organizations need to be doing now to address the growing impacts of climate change.

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Article

Understanding California wildfire risk

The 2020 wildfire season so far has offered no relief, with CAL FIRE reporting over 4 million acres burned calendar year to date, more than the two prior calendar years combined.

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Article

Climate risk and real estate: Emerging practices for market assessment

How are leading investors factoring market-level climate risk into decision-making?

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Podcast

Digital Insurance Leaders Neptune Podcast: Nancy Watkins

Nancy Watkins speaks with Jim Albert about flood insurance’s coverage gap, the adversarial position of the insurance industry, the wind-water conflict in claims, and climate change.

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Article

Trial by wildfire: Will efforts to fix home insurance in California stand the test of time?

As the 2020 wildfire season exceeds historical norms, California insurers and policymakers are looking for durable solutions to extinguish the threat of a homeowners’ insurance crisis.

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Article

Cultivating climate resilience for low-income populations through holistic risk management

A holistic approach to dealing with climate risks— one that includes but is not limited to insurance— is needed to help vulnerable communities become more resilient.

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Article

At a crossroads

In this article, Milliman’s Neil Cantle and Nancy Watkins, along with The Oracle Partnership’s Peter Kingsley, discuss the role that actuaries and insurers can play in tackling climate change following the coronavirus crisis.

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Look learn predict

Going forward, financial services firms must now evaluate the anticipated financial impact of climate change, and are expected to include considerations of climate change within risk management frameworks.

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Climate change is making Americans anxious. Insurers can help.

Insurers can play an active role in educating consumers about how to protect their families, homes, and property. They can also help mitigate risks and contribute to building a successful climate resilience strategy.

Article

Emerging risks in insurance: Climate change

This paper considers the current and developing regulation, in the UK and Europe, surrounding climate change-related risks.

Podcast

The future of flood insurance

This episode of Critical Point discusses the future of flood insurance and what protecting a home from flood might look like a few decades from now.

Article

Climate gentrification and the role of flood insurance

The visibility of climate’s impact on property hazard is increasingly leading individuals and their chosen leaders to ask: how might an increase in hazard affect the desirability of living in various communities, and how do we manage the socioeconomic impacts?

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U.S. private flood insurance: The journey to build a new market

In recent years, the private flood sector has grown rapidly and will likely continue to grow until the new market significantly closes the U.S. flood “protection gap.”

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